Persistently defeats Rachel Alexandra in Personal Ensign Stakes
Horseracing Betting Lines
08/29/2010 -
Saratoga Springs, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Persistently, ridden by Alan Garcia,
caught 2009 Horse of the Year Rachel Alexandra in late stretch to capture
Sunday's $300,000 Personal Ensign Stakes at Saratoga Race Course. Winning
trainer Shug McGaughey was also the conditioner of Personal Ensign.
Rachel Alexandra, with jockey Calvin Borel, was the 2-5 favorite in the five
horse field. Delaware Handicap winner Life At Ten, ridden by John Velazquez,
went off as the 9-5 second choice.
These two set the pace in the 1 1/4-mile stakes. Rachel was running in her
first 1 1/4-mile race. The four-year-old filly took the lead out of the gate
and was joined by Life At Ten.
These two females were far ahead of the other three runners. Rachel held the
lead entering the far turn with Life At Ten to her outside.
Around the final turn the Horse of the Year moved clear of her main rival and
opened a lead at the top of the stretch. As Life At Ten tired Persistently
ranged up on the outside to move past the five-year-old mare.
In mid-stretch Rachel was clearly tiring, but still had the lead with a 100
yards to run. Persistently caught the favorite yards before the wire and
posted a one-length victory over the four-year-old filly.
Life At Ten held on for third followed by Miss Singhsix and Classofsixtythree.
Persistently covered the 1 1/4-miles in 2:04.49 on a fast track.
Personal Ensign, a 1993 Hall of Fame inductee, was owned by the Phipps Stable
which also owns this year's race winner. Previous Personal Ensign Stakes
winners owned by the Phipps Stable and trained by McGaughey were Storm Flag
Flying (2004), Heavenly Prize (1995) and Personal Business (1990).
Persistently notched her first stakes win with the Personal Ensign, the win
was worth $180,000. The four-year-old chestnut filly is the winner of four of
14 career starts for $491,256.
Persistently returned $45.00, $8.10 and $3.60. Rachel Alexandra paid $2.30 and
$2.10, and Life At Ten paid $2.10 to show.
The lost snapped Rachel's two race win streak and Life At Ten's six race
winning streak.
"We are disappointed in the result," said Rachel's co-owner Jess Jackson, "as
we are sure her countless fans are, but we are certainly not disappointed in
her. She is still a superstar in our hearts and minds. The old sports adage
applies - On any given Sunday, anything can happen."
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Pacific-10 Conference odds
Teams that should be in: Stanford
 Oregon and USC get their tickets punched after taking care of business this weekend. Yes, the Trojans' computer numbers aren't great, but there's no way the third-place team in this league is getting nixed. Grudgingly, I added Arizona after consultation with our Bracketologist. I don't know that Arizona will lose its last three (including a Pac-10 quarterfinal game), and even if the Cats do, I still can't see how they'd be left out, given the overall profile. That said, it bears watching, as three more L's would leave them at 18-12 (9-9) and on a 6-11 skid entering the Dance. It would be nice to see the Wildcats get at least one W in the Bay Area next week, as Cincinnati (albeit without Armein Kirkland and with a worse profile) was axed after a similar slide last season. I just couldn't rationalize having some of the other teams as locks and not having Arizona in that category -- there just aren't enough good teams behind the Cats to threaten their spot, it seems. Stanford has its fate in its own hands with the Arizona schools coming to the Farm to close out the regular season next weekend.
Should be in:
Stanford [17-10 (9-7), RPI: 40, SOS: 21] No shame in not getting a win in L.A., but that makes the home game against Arizona State a must-win ahead of what could be an intriguing meeting with Arizona should the Cats lose at Cal. Getting to 11 Pac-10 wins would make Selection Sunday much more comfortable, but 10's probably more than enough this season. The Cardinal have nonconference wins over Texas Tech and at Virginia to lean on, although they also lost badly to Air Force and Santa Clara at home.
| Southeastern Conference odds |
Work left to do: Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Mississippi State
 It looks more and more possible that no one from the SEC West will make the NCAAs. How weird is that? Tennessee and Vandy move into the locks category after more good work this weekend. Kentucky stays there, although it would be smart for the Cats to handle Georgia at home Wednesday ahead of a trip to the Swamp. Could a disaster scenario (two more L's and a first-round SEC tourney exit) somehow dislodge the Cats despite their incredible computer numbers? Still unlikely, but not worth chancing it.
Work left to do:
Alabama [19-9 (6-8), RPI: 43, SOS: 47] The tough L at Tennessee was understandable, and even created some hope. Unfortunately, that hope was dashed by a home loss to Auburn, which leaves the Tide in some real trouble. There's still no signature win on the profile (no, Kentucky doesn't count), and the computer profile is weakening rapidly. The Tide conceivably could beat Ole Miss and win at Miss. State to get to 8-8 and clinch at least a share of the West crown, but that's probably not enough right now. The Tide will need to do some work in the SEC tourney.
Georgia [16-10 (8-6), RPI: 52, SOS: 23] This is the team with the best chance to make it from this section right now. The Bulldogs rebounded from a terrible performance at Ole Miss to beat down Miss. State. Now they are at Kentucky (king of the RPI 51-100 win) and home to Tennessee. That would be worth a lot of computer points to get both (which is doable), as both teams are in the top 11 in RPI. Finishing at least 9-7 is an absolute must, and I would feel much better about the Dawgs' chances if they got both to get to 10 SEC wins. They also beat Gonzaga, but lost to ACC bubblers Georgia Tech and Clemson.
Mississippi [18-10 (7-7), RPI: 63, SOS: 79] Like everyone else in this division, Ole Miss gacked up a chance to stake a claim, losing by double figures at South Carolina. Even 9-7 likely is not nearly enough with a nonconference profile devoid of anything notable.
Mississippi State [16-11 (7-7), RPI: 66, SOS: 37] With a chance to get in the mix, these Bulldogs were leashed by their Georgia counterparts. Could they get to 9-7? I guess -- although winning at Arkansas, then beating Alabama is no lock -- but would that mean all that much for a team with this overall profile? Probably not. There's nothing of note (on the good side) in the nonconference profile. |
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