Rockets soar past Wizards
Basketball Betting Lines
01/27/2012 -
Houston, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - With leading scorer Kevin Martin out due to
plantar fasciitis in his right foot, the Rockets still didn't have a problem
handling the lowly Wizards on Friday night.
Chase Budinger returned from a three-game absence to score 21 points with
eight rebounds as the Rockets used a strong second-half performance to take
down the Wizards, 103-76.
Luis Scola added 19 points and eight rebounds for the Rockets, who have won
eight of their last nine games.
John Wall had 17 points, eight rebounds and six assists for the Wizards, who
fell to 0-8 away from home this season.
With the Rockets already holding a 70-62 advantage with 2:32 to play in the
third quarter, Houston used a 23-0 run in between the third and fourth stanzas
to put the game away. Budinger had seven points during the surge.
The Wizards were held without a point for 7:57 until Nick Young finally
snapped the surge with a pull-up jumper to make it a 93-64 game with 6:38 to
go in the contest.
Wall had eight points in the opening quarter as the Wizards took a 21-17 lead
after a quarter of play.
The game remained tight in the second as the Rockets led by just three at the
break, 44-41.
Game Notes
The Rockets moved to 8-2 at home this season...Courtney Lee filled Martin's
void in the starting lineup and netted eight points...Young finished with 15
points...Houston outrebounded Washington 55-44...Washington turned the ball
over 24 times.
<< Nets hold off Cavs
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Deron Williams recorded a double-double with
27 points and 10 assists as the Nets held off the Cavaliers 99-96 at Quicken
Loans Arena.
Kris Humphries, who left Friday's shootaround with an illness, fought
<< Short-handed Mavericks down Jazz
Dallas, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rodrigue Beaubois scored a season-high 22 points
to power the short-handed Mavericks to a 116-101 win over Utah.
Lamar Odom added a season-best 19 points and Jason Terry scored 18 off the
bench for Dallas,
<< Hawks edge Pistons in OT
Auburn Hills, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Joe Johnson scored 30 points, including a
game-tying three-pointer in the closing seconds of the fourth quarter, to lead
the Atlanta Hawks to a 107-101 overtime victory over the Detroit Pistons.
Marvin W
<< Wade returns as Heat down Knicks
Miami, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dwyane Wade sparkled in his return to the lineup,
scoring 28 points, and the Heat withstood a bevy of three-pointers from New
York to earn a 99-89 victory over the short-handed Knicks.
LeBron James totaled 31
<< Rose boosts Bulls over Bucks
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Derrick Rose was in MVP form on Friday, as he
poured in a season-high 34 points to lead the Chicago Bulls to a 107-100 win
over the Milwaukee Bucks at United Center.
Carlos Boozer contributed 20 points and
Love, T'Wolves top Spurs >>
Minneapolis, MN (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Suddenly, Kevin Love and the Minnesota
Timberwolves have the San Antonio Spurs' number.
Love had 18 points and 16 rebounds Friday night and the Timberwolves scored
the final 10 points of the game
Pierce powers Celtics to 4th straight win >>
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Temporarily, the Celtics may not have Rajon
Rondo or Ray Allen in the lineup, but they still have Paul Pierce.
As the Pacers cut Boston's lead to two in the third quarter, Pierce put the
team on his ba
No. 5 Duke routs Clemson >>
Clemson, SC (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Tricia Liston had 16 points. leading No. 5 Duke
to a dominant 81-37 win over Clemson at Littlejohn Coliseum.
Elizabeth Williams added 14 points, five rebounds, and five blocks and Richa
Jackson scored 13 poin
Fernandez leads Nuggets over Raptors >>
Denver, CO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Rudy Fernandez poured in 23 points to lead four
teammates in double-figures as the Denver Nuggets topped the Toronto Raptors,
96-81 at Pepsi Center.
Danilo Gallinari dropped in 21 points and pulled down sev
Aldridge shines as Trail Blazers dominate Suns >>
Portland, OR (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - LaMarcus Aldridge scored 23 points, and
Portland dominated the middle two quarters in a 109-71 rout of the Phoenix
Suns.
Gerald Wallace tallied 17 points, Wesley Matthews 16 and Nicolas Batum 14 fo
Who Makes the Sportsbook Betting Lines?
Las Vegas Sports Consultants (LVSC) is the world’s premier oddsmaking company and the most respected authority on making the lines. Mike Seba is a Senior Oddsmaker at LVSC and has been making lines for the last six years. In our extended interview, Seba explained that there are 4-5 oddsmakers assigned to make lines for each of the major sports (pro & college football and basketball; MLB, NHL, boxing, golf). Each of these oddsmakers bring unique opinions, strengths and weaknesses to the process. Oddsmakers at LVSC are professional sports junkies who love what they do and would probably do it for nothing if you asked them, but they do get paid for it. By necessity their approach is very research-oriented and concise, since with millions of dollars at risk there is little margin for error.
“You either have a passion for it or you don’t,” Seba said.
“The #1 thing for us is to make a line for each game that creates good two-way action. We do this by drawing from past experiences and applying them to current situations. People think it’s much more complicated, but it’s not. “
What are the Football Betting Lines Trying to Accomplish?
There is a common misconception that point spreads represent the oddsmakers’ prediction of how many points the favorite will win by. That is not the case at all – their intent is NOT to evenly split the ATS result between the teams; rather, their goal is to attract equal betting action on both sides. Stated another way, they want to create a line that half the people find appealing to bet one way while the other half find it appealing to bet the other way (known as ‘dividing the action’).
Divided action means the sportsbook is guaranteed a profit on the game because of the fee charged to the bettor (called juice or vig – typically $11 bet to win $10).
How the Opening Line Is Made
The opening line is the first line created by the oddsmakers, which is then sent out to sportsbooks. Of course there is an entire method to the madness on how the opening line is created. Seba explained that it all starts with each oddsmaker creating a line on each game based upon their own personal approach. This usually includes having up-to-date power ratings on each team.
Power ratings are the oddsmaker’s value of each team and are used as a guide to calculate a "preliminary" pointspread on an upcoming game. The power ratings are adjusted after each game a team plays. Examples of non-game factors that would require an adjustment to a team's power rating are key player injuries and player trades.
Once a game’s power rating based pointspread is determined, the oddsmaker will make adjustments to that line after considering each team's most recent games played and previous games played against that opponent. Also, adjustments are made after reading each team’s local newspapers to get a sense of what the coaches & players are thinking going into the game.
Since the oddsmaker’s ultimate goal is equally dividing the sports betting action, public perception and sportsbook betting patterns must be taken into account. For example, the public might have heavy betting interest week after week on a popular college football betting team such as USC. If an oddsmaker comes up with a preliminary line of USC -7, then an adjustment up to -7.5 or -8 would be made in response to the public’s expected USC bias.
The last step in the line-making process for each oddsmaker is taking one final look to determine whether or not the line "feels right." This is where common sense and past experience with how games are bet enters into the picture.
A round-table discussion among the 4-5 oddsmakers involved in making the line for each sport is then conducted and a consensus line is decided upon by the Odds Director before it is released to the sportsbooks. Of the 4-5 oddsmakers, generally the 2 most respected opinions are weighed more heavily by the Odds Director before he decides on the final line.
Once the opening line is released by LVSC, the individual sportsbooks decide if they want to make any adjustments before offering it to the public. Reasons for such adjustments include:
Experts working for the individual books having a strong opinion on the game
Individual books having players who consistently bet with certain tendencies (such as an extreme bias toward favorites or toward a certain popular team like USC)
The purpose of these adjustments, like all line adjustments, is to more equally divide the betting action.
Once betting begins, sportsbooks can adjust the line at any time. In doing so they attempt to make more attractive the team that is getting less action. By moving the line, sportsbooks can influence how the public bets on a particular game.
For example, if the pointspread on a game is 7 and most of the money is coming in on the underdog (taking the +7), sportsbooks will then move the number down to 6 ½ to try and attract money on the favorite.
Moving the line is the oddsmaker's effort to balance betting action, and often times such moves can have a major impact on a bettor’s decision. Oddsmakers can also change the line depending on various event-related factors such as player injuries or weather. Obviously, if the line comes out a week ahead of the event (which is the case in football), there is much that could happen during the week leading up to the event that could affect the line. Oddsmakers have to determine if any changes are necessary and send out an "adjusted line."
“The main objective is that our clients get equal action on both sides,” Seba said. “We’re not trying to pick the team that covers the spread, we’re trying to make it a coin flip, a tough decision (for the bettor). If we’ve done that, we’ve done our job.”
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